Showing posts with label inside day. Show all posts
Showing posts with label inside day. Show all posts

Thursday, July 9, 2009

July 8, Forex Market Recap

For Japanese yen, Tuesday (7/7/2009) was an inside day (ID) with a daily range of 75-pip. Since last Friday (7/3/2009) was a holiday, which qualify Tuesday as a narrow range day (NR7).

Yen broke Tuesday's lower boundary in Asian session, which put yen in a very bearish mood, since it's a NR7/ID breakdown. Yen formed a small range and remained below yesterday's low for the whole London session and early US session. The downside follow through happened around 11:00am, which was decisive and dropped 233-pip in two hours, that is 7.3 s.d. out of average daily range. The bears are laughing all the way to the bank. There is an instant 150-pip rally after yen hit the bottom of a downward channel on daily charts.

On daily point and figure charts, there is a double bottom breakdown at 94.00. Look at hourly PnF, there is a double bottom breakdown on July 5 at 95.50, the downward momentum continued and broke support at 95.00 and 94.00 on July 6, and July 8 individually.

So the forex strategies for narrow range and inside day is to follow which direction the market is leading and prepare for a trending day. There is no need to predict direction or put personal bias on the market.